Give me the child at 3 and I will give you the adult
compulsive gambler.
That is the striking finding of a new study in
Psychological Science, a journal published by the Association for Psychological
Science. Based on tests of over 900 individuals beginning in toddlerhood, the
study found that "people who were rated at age three as being more
restless, inattentive, oppositional, and moody than other three-year old
children were twice as likely to grow up to have problems with gambling as
adults three decades later," says psychologist Wendy S. Slutske of
University of Missouri, who conducted the study with Terrie E. Moffitt and
Avshalom Caspi, both of Duke University and University College/London; and
Richie Poulton of University of Otago, in Dunedin, New Zealand.
As the first study to establish a causal link
between a so-called "under-controlled" temperament in early childhood
and later compulsive gambling, said Slutske, it answers a crucial question:
"How early can we tell a person is at increased risk?"
The study looked at individuals from the Dunedin
(New Zealand) Multidisciplinary Health and Development Study, a longitudinal
study of one birth cohort. Based on behaviors observed during a 90-minute
assessment, 1,037 three-year-olds were categorized as having one of five
temperaments: under-controlled, inhibited, confident, reserved, or well
adjusted. Those children who were categorized as having an under-controlled
temperament were more restless, impulsive, and negative and were less able to
regulate their emotions.
At ages 21 and 36, 939 of the study participants
answered questions about gambling behavior. At 21, 86 percent of the
respondents had gambled, but only 13 percent in a "disordered" way --
defined by such problems as a preoccupation with gambling; a need to wager more
and more to get the same enjoyment; getting into financial, personal, or
work-related difficulties because of gambling; and difficulty in cutting down
or quitting. By 32, only about 4 percent of the participants still gambled at
that level.
Among the compulsive gamblers, men were more
numerous than women, as were those with low childhood intelligence and
socioeconomic status. But under-controlled temperament in toddlerhood remained
a significant predictor of disordered gambling in adulthood, even after gender,
intelligence, and socioeconomic status were taken into account.
It is important to keep in mind that the number of
people who actually end up becoming compulsive gamblers is relatively small.
But the findings, said Slutske, are still important given "the
ever-increasing number of [gambling] temptations our world presents," such
as the opportunities to place bets at home on the Internet at any time of day
or night. Some vulnerable individuals may not be well-equipped to handle such
temptations.
And the implications of the study may even go beyond
gambling. "It fits into a larger story about how self-control in early
childhood is related to important life outcomes in adulthood," said
Slutske. New programs for boosting self-control -- even Sesame Street's
segments on the importance of saving money and waiting until later for goodies
-- might not only head off a painful future of compulsive gambling but also
increase children's chances of academic success, financial security, and
personal happiness when they grow up.
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