Thousands of deaths could still be expected from the Fukushima nuclear
fallout in the years to come, according to the first estimate of the disaster’s
worldwide impact.
Thousands of deaths could still
be expected from the Fukushima nuclear fallout in the years to come, according
to the first estimate of the disaster’s worldwide impact.
The research, published in the
latest edition of the journal Energy & Environmental Science,
found that inhalation exposure, external exposure, and ingestion exposure of
the public to radioactivity may result in up to 1,300 cancer mortalities and up
to 2,500 cancer morbidities worldwide, mostly in Japan.
Stanford University researchers
John Ten Hoeve and Mark Jacobson feel that the risk of a meltdown is not small,
given that “modest to major radionuclide releases (occurred) in almost 1.5
percent of all reactors ever built.”
However, according to them,
deaths relating to Fukushima “may be less than Chernobyl, due to a lower total
emission of radioactivity, lower radioactivity deposition rates over land and
more precautionary measures taken immediately following the Fukushima
accident.”
“The number of projected
mortalities, however, is still considerably smaller than the nearly 20,000
mortalities from the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami and is also smaller than the
estimated number of projected mortalities from the Chernobyl nuclear accident.”
Estimates in the paper do not
account for the increased radiation risk to the roughly 20,000 workers at the
plant in the months following the accident.
Psychological effects such as
depression, anxiety, fear, and unexplained physical symptoms which were seen
post-Chernobyl, are likely to be repeated in evacuees after Fukushima, they
say.
In his response to the paper, also published in Energy
& Environmental Science, Nobel Prize winning American physicist Burton
Richter said that health effects in Japan would have been “much worse with
fossil fuel used to generate the same amount of electricity as was nuclear
generated”.
“It seems that clear that
considering only the electricity generated by the Fukushima plant, nuclear is
much less damaging to health than coal and somewhat better than gas even after
including (Fukushima),” Richter added.
The article can be found
at: Ten Hoeve et al. (2012)
Worldwide health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident.
——
Source: RSC.
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